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NFLGame lineTeam total
Over 28.5 (team total)
Won4 of 5last 5 games · 80%
Best price-107Kalshi
Price needs51.7%wins to break even
Every game12 of 22this season and last
Trend score-14.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 52% to break even | 44%–95% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 52% to break even | 33%–72% | 2 points betterwon 53%, needs 52% |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 52% to break even | 44%–95% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 52% to break even | 29%–66% | 5 points shortwon 47%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 12 of 2255%needs 52% to break even | 38%–71% | 3 points betterwon 55%, needs 52% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DET plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against GB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Over 28.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
DET points in each game against over 28.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | DET points | Beat 28.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 |  ARI | 45 | +16.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  CAR | 26 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  NYJ | 31 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 17 |  BUF | 31 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  NO | 31 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 |  CHI | 19 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 25 |  MIN | 10 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 |  PIT | 24 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  LAR | 34 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 4 |  DAL | 44 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 27 |  GB | 24 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 |  NYG | 34 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 |  PHI | 9 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 |  WSH | 44 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | MIN | 24 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 20 |  TB | 24 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  KC | 17 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  CIN | 37 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 |  CLE | 34 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 22 |  BAL | 38 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | CHI | 52 | +23.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | GB | 13 | -15.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 24.5 team totalDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |  +173at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 27.5 team totalDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 28.5 team totalDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 31.5 team totalDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 66% to break even | -19.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Detroit Lions in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.