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NFLPlayer propRush + rec yards
Jahmyr Gibbs over 164.5 rush + rec yards
Won2 of 5last 5 games · 40%
Best price+189Kalshi
Price needs34.6%wins to break even
Every game5 of 22this season and last
Trend score-20.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 35% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 35% to break even | 7%–46% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 35% to break even | 13%–48% | 8 points shortwon 27%, needs 35% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 35% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 3 of 1718%needs 35% to break even | 7%–37% | 17 points shortwon 18%, needs 35% |
| Every game | 5 of 2223%needs 35% to break even | 12%–40% | 12 points shortwon 23%, needs 35% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DET plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against GB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Jahmyr Gibbs over 164.5 rush + rec yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rush + rec yards in each game against over 164.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rush + rec yards | Beat 164.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 |  ARI | 207 | +42.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  CAR | 77 | -87.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  NYJ | 164 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  BUF | 113 | -51.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  NO | 186 | +21.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  CHI | 113 | -51.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  MIN | 64 | -100.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  PIT | 68 | -96.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  LAR | 58 | -106.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  DAL | 120 | -44.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 |  GB | 86 | -78.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  NYG | 264 | +99.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 |  PHI | 146 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  WSH | 172 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | MIN | 28 | -136.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  TB | 218 | +53.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  KC | 65 | -99.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  CIN | 87 | -77.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  CLE | 97 | -67.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  BAL | 99 | -65.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | CHI | 104 | -60.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | GB | 50 | -114.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 139.5 rush + rec yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |  -121at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Jahmyr Gibbs in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.