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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Jahmyr Gibbs under 79.5 rushing yards
Won11 of 17last season · 65%
Best price+152Kalshi
Price needs39.7%wins to break even
Every game13 of 22this season and last
Trend score-3.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 40% to break even | 14%–73% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 40% to break even | 35%–81% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 40% to break even | 39%–78% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 40% to break even | 14%–73% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 11 of 1765%needs 40% to break even | 45%–81% | 25 points betterwon 65%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 13 of 2259%needs 40% to break even | 42%–74% | 19 points betterwon 59%, needs 40% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DET plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against GB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Jahmyr Gibbs under 79.5 rushing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against under 79.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 79.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 |  ARI | 151 | -71.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  CAR | 46 | +33.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  NYJ | 99 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  BUF | 52 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  NO | 156 | -76.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  CHI | 80 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  MIN | 41 | +38.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  PIT | 2 | +77.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  LAR | 38 | +41.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  DAL | 43 | +36.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  GB | 68 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  NYG | 219 | -139.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 |  PHI | 39 | +40.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 |  WSH | 142 | -62.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | MIN | 25 | +54.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  TB | 136 | -56.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  KC | 65 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  CIN | 54 | +25.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  CLE | 91 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  BAL | 67 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | CHI | 94 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | GB | 19 | +60.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Jahmyr Gibbs in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.