This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 54% to break even | 14%–73% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 54% to break even | 44%–87% | 16 points betterwon 70%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 54% to break even | 46%–83% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 54% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 54% to break even | 14%–73% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 14 of 1782%needs 54% to break even | 63%–93% | 28 points betterwon 82%, needs 54% |
| Every game |
Tonight DET plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against GB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against under 94.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 94.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 | 151 | |||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 79.5 rushing yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 17.5 rush attemptsJahmyr Gibbs |
| 16 of 2273%needs 54% to break even |
| 55%–85% |
| 19 points betterwon 73%, needs 54% |
| -56.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 4 | 46 | +48.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 99 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 52 | +42.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 156 | -61.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 80 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 41 | +53.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 2 | +92.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 38 | +56.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 43 | +51.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 68 | +26.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 219 | -124.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 39 | +55.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 142 | -47.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 25 | +69.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 136 | -41.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 65 | +29.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 54 | +40.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 91 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 67 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 94 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 19 | +75.5 | Won |
| -199at Kalshi |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 67% to break even |
| -36.6Not beating its price |
| Over 89.5 rushing yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 57% to break even | -32.1Not beating its price |
| Over 90.5 rushing yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -125at Fanatics | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 56% to break even | -31.2Not beating its price |
| Over 92.5 rushing yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -30.5Not beating its price |
| Over 93.5 rushing yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -30.2Not beating its price |
| Over 94.5 rushing yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -31.3Not beating its price |
| Over 99.5 rushing yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 48% to break even | -31.0Not beating its price |
| Over 109.5 rushing yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 39% to break even | -23.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +173at Kalshi |
| 14 of 17· last season82%needs 37% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 4.8Good |
| Under 20.5 rush attemptsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 16 of 17· last season94%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.3Slight |
| Under 139.5 rush + rec yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 anytime TDJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 39% to break even | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 40% to break even | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.7Not beating its price |
| Under 37.5 receiving yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Under 38.5 receiving yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 receptionsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +114at BetOnline | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 receptionsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.4Not beating its price |
| Over 164.5 rush + rec yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 35% to break even | -20.2Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 receptionsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 59% to break even | -22.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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