This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 53% to break even | 28%–67% | 6 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 5 of 1729%needs 53% to break even | 15%–49% | 23 points shortwon 29%, needs 53% |
| Every game |
Tonight DET plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against GB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 39.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 39.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 | 56 | |||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 37.5 receiving yardsJahmyr Gibbs |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 17.5 rush attemptsJahmyr Gibbs |
| 22%–54% |
| 16 points shortwon 36%, needs 53% |
| +16.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 4 | 31 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 65 | +25.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 61 | +21.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 33 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 23 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 66 | +26.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 20 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 77 | +37.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 18 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 45 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 107 | +67.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 3 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 82 | +42.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 0 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 33 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 6 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 32 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 10 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 31 | -8.5 | Lost |
| -113at DraftKings |
| 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -15.9Not beating its price |
| Under 38.5 receiving yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +173at Kalshi |
| 14 of 17· last season82%needs 37% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 4.8Good |
| Under 20.5 rush attemptsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 16 of 17· last season94%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.3Slight |
| Under 79.5 rushing yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.6Not beating its price |
| Under 99.5 rushing yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.9Not beating its price |
| Under 89.5 rushing yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.2Not beating its price |
| Under 94.5 rushing yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -117at BetRivers | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price |
| Under 93.5 rushing yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.0Not beating its price |
| Under 90.5 rushing yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -105at Fanatics | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.4Not beating its price |
| Under 92.5 rushing yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Under 139.5 rush + rec yardsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 anytime TDJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 39% to break even | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 receptionsJahmyr Gibbs · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +114at BetOnline | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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