This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 53% to break even | 52%–87% | 21 points betterwon 73%, needs 53% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 12 of 1675%needs 53% to break even | 55%–88% | 22 points betterwon 75%, needs 53% |
Tonight GB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Passing yards in each game against under 279.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 274.5 passing yardsJordan Love · |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 rushing yardsJordan Love · |
| Every game | 15 of 2268%needs 53% to break even | 51%–82% | 15 points betterwon 68%, needs 53% |
| 276 |
| +3.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 5 | 367 | -87.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 197 | +82.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 312 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 145 | +134.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 387 | -107.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 323 | -43.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 77 | +202.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 276 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 234 | +45.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 234 | +45.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 139 | +140.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 174 | +105.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 176 | +103.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 273 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 360 | -80.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 179 | +100.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 259 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 337 | -57.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 183 | +96.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 292 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 188 | +91.5 | Won |
| -137at Kalshi |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 58% to break even |
| -25.5Not beating its price |
| Over 275.5 passing yardsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -115at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even | -21.9Not beating its price |
| Over 277.5 passing yardsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -30.4Not beating its price |
| Over 279.5 passing yardsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -29.9Not beating its price |
| Over 299.5 passing yardsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -108at DraftKings |
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 52% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -9.0Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 completionsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Under 36.5 pass attemptsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 interceptions thrownJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 rush attemptsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 54% to break even | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 passing TDsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 65% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.4Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 passing TDsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 8 of 16· last season50%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 passing TDsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 5 of 16· last season31%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.6Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 rush attemptsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.1Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 interceptions thrownJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 59% to break even | -25.3Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 completionsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 51% to break even | -28.4Not beating its price |
| Over 36.5 pass attemptsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 56% to break even | -28.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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