This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 34% to break even | 0%–35% | 34 points shortwon 0%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 34% to break even | 7%–46% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 34% to break even | 8%–41% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 34% to break even | 0%–31% | 34 points shortwon 0%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 5 of 1631%needs 34% to break even | 16%–52% | 2 points shortwon 31%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 5 of 22 |
Tonight GB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Passing TDs in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing TDs | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 1 | -1.5 | ||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 passing TDsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 rushing yardsJordan Love · |
| 12%–40% |
| 11 points shortwon 23%, needs 34% |
| Lost |
| Wk 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| +146at Kalshi |
| 8 of 16· last season50%needs 41% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -19.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -108at DraftKings |
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 52% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -9.0Not beating its price |
| Under 249.5 passing yardsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 9 of 16· last season56%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Under 279.5 passing yardsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at BetOnline | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| Under 277.5 passing yardsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.1Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 completionsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Under 36.5 pass attemptsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 274.5 passing yardsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Under 299.5 passing yardsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 13 of 16· last season81%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 interceptions thrownJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 rush attemptsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 55% to break even | -17.8Not beating its price |
| Under 275.5 passing yardsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -115at Fanatics | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price |
| Over 275.5 passing yardsJordan Love · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -115at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even | -21.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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