This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 62% to break even | 14%–73% | 22 points shortwon 40%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 62% to break even | 27%–73% | 12 points shortwon 50%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 62% to break even | 33%–72% | 8 points shortwon 53%, needs 62% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 62% to break even | 22%–78% | 12 points shortwon 50%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 62% to break even | 29%–66% | 15 points shortwon 47%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 62% to break even | 32%–64% | 14 points shortwon 48%, needs 62% |
Tonight NYJ plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2H total points in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 17.5 2nd half totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 25 |
| -4.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 11 | 16 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 19 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 38 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 14 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | 13 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | 37 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 13 | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 13 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 40 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | 6 | +14.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | 8 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 33 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 29 | 35 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 17 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 59% to break even |
| -8.0Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 2nd half totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even | -10.4Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 2nd half totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 2nd half totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 42% to break even |
| 12.2Strong |
| Under 10.5 1st half team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 58% to break even | 10.0Strong |
| Under 24.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 66% to break even | -0.3Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 34% to break even | -1.4Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 48% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even | -3.1Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 4th quarter totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.7Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 54% to break even | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 1st half totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 64% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.6Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 1st half totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 48% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 4th quarter totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, NYJ gamesNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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