This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 47% to break even | 27%–86% | 13 points betterwon 60%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 47% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points betterwon 50%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 47% to break even | 28%–67% | evenwon 47%, needs 47% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 47% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points betterwon 50%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 9 of 1753%needs 47% to break even | 34%–71% | 6 points betterwon 53%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 12 of 2352%needs 47% to break even | 36%–68% | 5 points betterwon 52%, needs 47% |
Tonight NYJ plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2H total points in each game against over 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 2H total points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 25 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 16 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 19 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 38 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 23 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 22 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 14 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 27 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 13 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 37 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 23 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 13 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 40 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 6 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 8 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 33 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Sep 29 | 35 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 30 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 17 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 30 | +9.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 2nd half totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 17.5 2nd half totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 6 of 17· last season35%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 19.5 2nd half totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 6 of 17· last season35%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 20.5 2nd half totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 62% to break even | -29.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 21.5 2nd half totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 66% to break even | -32.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.