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NFLGame lineTeam total
Over 16.5 (team total)
Won11 of 17last season · 65%
Best price-121Kalshi
Price needs54.8%wins to break even
Every game12 of 22this season and last
Trend score-22.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 55% to break even | 5%–56% | 35 points shortwon 20%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 55% to break even | 19%–65% | 15 points shortwon 40%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 55% to break even | 28%–67% | 8 points shortwon 47%, needs 55% |
| This season | 1 of 520%needs 55% to break even | 5%–56% | 35 points shortwon 20%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 11 of 1765%needs 55% to break even | 45%–81% | 10 points betterwon 65%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 12 of 2255%needs 55% to break even | 38%–71% | evenwon 55%, needs 55% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIA plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against NYJ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Over 16.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
MIA points in each game against over 16.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | MIA points | Beat 16.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 |  CIN | 24 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  MIN | 10 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  KC | 10 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  SF | 13 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  LV | 13 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 |  NE | 10 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 |  TB | 20 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | CIN | 21 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 15 |  PIT | 15 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  NYJ | 34 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  NO | 21 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 |  WSH | 16 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 |  BUF | 30 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 30 |  BAL | 6 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 |  ATL | 34 | +17.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 |  CLE | 6 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  LAC | 27 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  CAR | 24 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 29 | NYJ | 27 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 18 | BUF | 21 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | NE | 27 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 |  IND | 8 | -8.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 team totalMiami Dolphins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  +134at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even | -15.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 16.5 team totalMiami Dolphins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -15.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 17.5 team totalMiami Dolphins · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 58% to break even | -21.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Miami Dolphins in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.