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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Mason Taylor under 19.5 receiving yards
Won5 of 15last 15 games · 33%
Best price-126Kalshi
Price needs55.8%wins to break even
Every game5 of 16this season and last
Trend score-34.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 56% to break even | 5%–56% | 36 points shortwon 20%, needs 56% | 25.4receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 56% to break even | 7%–46% | 36 points shortwon 20%, needs 56% | 24.7receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 56% to break even | 17%–54% | 22 points shortwon 33%, needs 56% | 26.9receiving yards |
| This season | 1 of 333%needs 56% to break even | 8%–75% | 22 points shortwon 33%, needs 56% | 18.3receiving yards |
| Last season | 4 of 1331%needs 56% to break even | 15%–54% | 25 points shortwon 31%, needs 56% | 28.4receiving yards |
| Every game | 5 of 1631%needs 56% to break even | 16%–52% | 25 points shortwon 31%, needs 56% | 26.5receiving yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight NYJ plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 9 at home. Tonight: MIA allows 76.2 receiving yards a game to tight ends, the 4th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 54.2): a tough matchup for this bet. How MIA defends tight ends
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Every book's price
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Mason Taylor under 19.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 19.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  NE | 33 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  CLE | 24 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  TEN | -2 | +21.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 14 |  MIA | 51 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 |  ATL | 21 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  BAL | 21 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | NE | 30 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | CLE | 4 | +15.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  CIN | 34 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  CAR | 31 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  DEN | 2 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  DAL | 67 | -47.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | MIA | 65 | -45.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  TB | 18 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  BUF | 5 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  PIT | 20 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Mason Taylor in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 receptionsMason Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  +189at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 35% to break even2 of 9 at home | -11.4Not beating its price | ||
| Scores a TDMason Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +490at Kalshi | 1 of 10· last 10 games10%needs 17% to break even0 of 9 at home | -12.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 receptionsMason Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 55% to break even4 of 9 at home | -13.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 2.5 receptionsMason Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  +118at FanDuel | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 46% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.