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NFLPlayer propPass + rush yards
Geno Smith over 209.5 pass + rush yards
Won4 of 6this season · 67%
Best price-183DraftKings
Price needs64.7%wins to break even
Every game10 of 21this season and last
Trend score-31.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 65% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 65% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points shortwon 60%, needs 65% | 231.2passing and rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 65% to break even | 19%–65% | 25 points shortwon 40%, needs 65% | 203.5passing and rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 65% to break even | 28%–67% | 18 points shortwon 47%, needs 65% | 206.1passing and rushing yards |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 65% to break even | 35%–88% | 2 points betterwon 67%, needs 65% | 229.7passing and rushing yards |
| Last season | 6 of 1540%needs 65% to break even | 22%–61% | 25 points shortwon 40%, needs 65% | 208.9passing and rushing yards |
| Every game | 10 of 2148%needs 65% to break even | 31%–65% | 17 points shortwon 48%, needs 65% | 214.9passing and rushing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight NYJ plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 10 at home. Tonight: MIA allows 235.8 passing and rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 9th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 253.4): a tough matchup for this bet. How MIA defends quarterbacks
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Geno Smith over 209.5 pass + rush yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Pass + rush yards in each game against over 209.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pass + rush yards | Beat 209.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  NE | 251 | +41.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  CLE | 189 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  CHI | 119 | -90.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  DET | 333 | +123.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  GB | 264 | +54.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  TEN | 222 | +12.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 |  NYG | 177 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  HOU | 201 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  DEN | 120 | -89.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 |  LAC | 159 | -50.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | CLE | 293 | +83.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 |  DAL | 252 | +42.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | DEN | 150 | -59.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  JAX | 293 | +83.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  KC | 68 | -141.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | TEN | 171 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  IND | 236 | +26.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | CHI | 148 | -61.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  WSH | 294 | +84.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | LAC | 200 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | NE | 372 | +162.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 229.5 pass + rush yardsGeno Smith · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -112at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 at home | -16.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 231.5 pass + rush yardsGeno Smith · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -115at BetMGM | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 at home | -16.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 232.5 pass + rush yardsGeno Smith · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -114at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 at home | -16.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Geno Smith in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.