This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 10% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 10% to break even | 0%–35% | 10 points shortwon 0%, needs 10% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 10% to break even | 0%–21% | 10 points shortwon 0%, needs 10% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 150%needs 10% to break even | 0%–15% | 10 points shortwon 0%, needs 10% |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 10% to break even | 0%–31% | 10 points shortwon 0%, needs 10% |
| Last season | 0 of 150%needs 10% to break even | 0%–15% | 10 points shortwon 0%, needs 10% |
| Every game | 0 of 210% |
Tonight NYJ plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 0 of 10 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Geno Smith game, newest first: whether Smith scored a touchdown.
This player's other props in the game.
| 0%–11% |
| 10 points shortwon 0%, needs 10% |
| No TD |
| Lost |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 17 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 14 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 13 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 12 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 11 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 10 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 9 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 7 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 6 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost |
| +102at DraftKings |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even5 of 10 at home |
| -7.1Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 passing TDsGeno Smith · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -135at Bovada | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 57% to break even8 of 10 at home | -8.3Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 completionsGeno Smith · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +260at BetMGM | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 28% to break even4 of 10 at home | -12.4Not beating its price |
| Under 199.5 passing yardsGeno Smith · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last season53%needs 40% to break even6 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Over 33.5 pass attemptsGeno Smith · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +215at DraftKings | 6 of 15· last season40%needs 32% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -13.6Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 rushing yardsGeno Smith · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 66% to break even6 of 10 at home | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Under 218.5 passing yardsGeno Smith · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 at home | -15.8Not beating its price |
| Under 229.5 pass + rush yardsGeno Smith · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -112at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 at home | -16.0Not beating its price |
| Under 223.5 passing yardsGeno Smith · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 at home | -16.3Not beating its price |
| Under 232.5 pass + rush yardsGeno Smith · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 at home | -16.3Not beating its price |
| Under 221.5 passing yardsGeno Smith · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 at home | -16.5Not beating its price |
| Under 231.5 pass + rush yardsGeno Smith · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 at home | -16.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.