This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 14% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 14% to break even | 0%–35% | 14 points shortwon 0%, needs 14% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 14% to break even | 7%–46% | 6 points betterwon 20%, needs 14% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1315%needs 14% to break even | 5%–37% | 1 points betterwon 15%, needs 14% |
| This season | 0 of 40%needs 14% to break even | 0%–40% | 14 points shortwon 0%, needs 14% |
| Last season | 2 of 922%needs 14% to break even | 8%–50% | 8 points betterwon 22%, needs 14% |
| Every game |
Tonight MIA plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against NYJ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 7 on the road. Tonight: NYJ allows 1 touchdowns a game to running backs, the 10th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9): an easy matchup for this bet. How NYJ defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Jaylen Wright game, newest first: whether Wright scored a touchdown.
This player's other props in the game.
| 2 of 1315%needs 14% to break even |
| 5%–37% |
| 1 points betterwon 15%, needs 14% |
| No TD |
| Lost |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 18 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 15 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 13 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 11 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 10 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 8 | No TD | Lost |
| +244at DraftKings |
| 4 of 9· last season44%needs 29% to break even2 of 7 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -13.1Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 rushing yardsJaylen Wright · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -107at DraftKings | 4 of 4· this season100%needs 52% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Under 15.5 rushing yardsJaylen Wright · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 4 of 4· this season100%needs 53% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 rushing yardsJaylen Wright · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +148at DraftKings | 5 of 9· last season56%needs 40% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.4Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 rushing yardsJaylen Wright · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 4 of 4· this season100%needs 66% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -19.4Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 rushing yardsJaylen Wright · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -110at Fanatics | 7 of 9· last season78%needs 52% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.7Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 rushing yardsJaylen Wright · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 7 of 9· last season78%needs 54% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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