This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 54% to break even | 5%–56% | 34 points shortwon 20%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 54% to break even | 27%–73% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1354%needs 54% to break even | 32%–74% | evenwon 54%, needs 54% |
| This season | 0 of 40%needs 54% to break even | 0%–40% | 54 points shortwon 0%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 7 of 978%needs 54% to break even | 50%–92% | 24 points betterwon 78%, needs 54% |
| Every game |
Tonight MIA plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against NYJ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against over 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 rushing yardsJaylen Wright |
| 32%–74% |
| evenwon 54%, needs 54% |
| -3.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 1 | -1 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 23 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 56 | +41.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 35 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 2 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 107 | +92.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 16 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 4 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 17 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 28 | +13.5 | Won |
| -108at DraftKings |
| 4 of 4· this season100%needs 52% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -15.1Not beating its price |
| Under 15.5 rushing yardsJaylen Wright · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -110at Fanatics | 4 of 4· this season100%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 rushing yardsJaylen Wright · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -115at BetMGM | 4 of 4· this season100%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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