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NFLGame line1st half total
Over 25.5 (1st half total)
Won7 of 17last season · 41%
Best price+103Polymarket
Price needs49.3%wins to break even
Every game9 of 23this season and last
Trend score-25.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 49% to break even | 19%–65% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 49% to break even | 22%–61% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 49% to break even | 12%–65% | 16 points shortwon 33%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 49% to break even | 24%–61% | 8 points shortwon 41%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 9 of 2339%needs 49% to break even | 24%–56% | 10 points shortwon 39%, needs 49% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Over 25.5 (1st half total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H total points in each game against over 25.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H total points | Beat 25.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  CHI | 28 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  BAL | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  NO | 31 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 24 |  GB | 24 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  CAR | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  PIT | 20 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | NO | 17 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 |  LAR | 21 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 |  ARI | 32 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 11 |  TB | 27 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 |  SEA | 12 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 |  NYJ | 14 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | NO | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | CAR | 31 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 |  IND | 27 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 |  NE | 35 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 |  MIA | 20 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 |  SF | 13 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 13 |  BUF | 28 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 |  WSH | 27 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | CAR | 10 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  MIN | 15 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | TB | 20 | -5.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 20.5 1st half totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  +173at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 21.5 1st half totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 22.5 1st half totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  +131at Polymarket | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 24.5 1st half totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 25.5 1st half totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Atlanta Falcons in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.