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NFLGame lineTeam total
Under 20.5 (team total)
Won6 of 17last season · 35%
Best price+152Kalshi
Price needs39.7%wins to break even
Every game8 of 23this season and last
Trend score-22.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 40% to break even | 5%–56% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 40% to break even | 13%–56% | 10 points shortwon 30%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 40% to break even | 13%–48% | 13 points shortwon 27%, needs 40% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 40% to break even | 12%–65% | 6 points shortwon 33%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 6 of 1735%needs 40% to break even | 19%–55% | 4 points shortwon 35%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 8 of 2335%needs 40% to break even | 21%–52% | 5 points shortwon 35%, needs 40% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Under 20.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
ATL points in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | ATL points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  CHI | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  BAL | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  NO | 45 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Sep 24 |  GB | 35 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  CAR | 3 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  PIT | 13 | +7.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | NO | 19 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 |  LAR | 27 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 |  ARI | 26 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 11 |  TB | 29 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  SEA | 9 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  NYJ | 24 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | NO | 24 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | CAR | 27 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 |  IND | 25 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 |  NE | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 |  MIA | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 |  SF | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 13 |  BUF | 24 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 |  WSH | 34 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | CAR | 0 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 |  MIN | 22 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | TB | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 team totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -199at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 67% to break even | -18.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 21.5 team totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 64% to break even | -16.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 22.5 team totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 58% to break even | -12.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 23.5 team totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -123at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 55% to break even | -23.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 24.5 team totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 50% to break even | -24.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Atlanta Falcons in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.