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NFLGame lineTeam total
Over 20.5 (team total)
Won11 of 15last 15 games · 73%
Best price-199Kalshi
Price needs66.6%wins to break even
Every game15 of 23this season and last
Trend score-18.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 67% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 67% to break even | 44%–95% | 13 points betterwon 80%, needs 67% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 67% to break even | 44%–87% | 3 points betterwon 70%, needs 67% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 67% to break even | 52%–87% | 7 points betterwon 73%, needs 67% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 67% to break even | 35%–88% | evenwon 67%, needs 67% |
| Last season | 11 of 1765%needs 67% to break even | 45%–81% | 2 points shortwon 65%, needs 67% |
| Every game | 15 of 2365%needs 67% to break even | 48%–79% | 1 points shortwon 65%, needs 67% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Over 20.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
ATL points in each game against over 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | ATL points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  CHI | 23 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  BAL | 23 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  NO | 45 | +24.5 | Won |
| Sep 24 |  GB | 35 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  CAR | 3 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  PIT | 13 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | NO | 19 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 |  LAR | 27 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  ARI | 26 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 11 |  TB | 29 | +8.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 |  SEA | 9 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 |  NYJ | 24 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | NO | 24 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | CAR | 27 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 |  IND | 25 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 |  NE | 23 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 |  MIA | 10 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 |  SF | 10 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 13 |  BUF | 24 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 |  WSH | 34 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | CAR | 0 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  MIN | 22 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | TB | 20 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 20.5 team totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  +152at Kalshi | 6 of 17· last season35%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 21.5 team totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 6 of 17· last season35%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 22.5 team totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 23.5 team totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -105at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 24.5 team totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Atlanta Falcons in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.