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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Michael Penix Jr. under 0.5 rushing yards
Won2 of 4this season · 50%
Best price-104DraftKings
Price needs51.0%wins to break even
Every game4 of 13this season and last
Trend score-27.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 51% to break even | 14%–73% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% | 2.8rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 51% to break even | 13%–56% | 21 points shortwon 30%, needs 51% | 4.6rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1331%needs 51% to break even | 15%–54% | 20 points shortwon 31%, needs 51% | 5.8rushing yards |
| This season | 2 of 450%needs 51% to break even | 18%–82% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% | 1.3rushing yards |
| Last season | 2 of 922%needs 51% to break even | 8%–50% | 29 points shortwon 22%, needs 51% | 7.8rushing yards |
| Every game | 4 of 1331%needs 51% to break even | 15%–54% | 20 points shortwon 31%, needs 51% | 5.8rushing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 0 of 6 at home. Tonight: SF allows 7.2 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 2nd fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 17.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How SF defends quarterbacks
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Every book's price
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Michael Penix Jr. under 0.5 rushing yards2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 rushing yardsMichael Penix Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -121at DraftKings | 7 of 9· last season78%needs 55% to break even6 of 6 at home | Record is last season's | -11.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 rushing yardsMichael Penix Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -102at FanDuel | 6 of 9· last season67%needs 50% to break even4 of 6 at home | Record is last season's | -18.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 4.5 rushing yardsMichael Penix Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +140at FanDuel | 6 of 9· last season67%needs 42% to break even4 of 6 at home | Record is last season's | -11.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Michael Penix Jr. in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.