This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 8% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 8% to break even | 0%–35% | 8 points shortwon 0%, needs 8% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 8% to break even | 0%–21% | 8 points shortwon 0%, needs 8% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 138%needs 8% to break even | 2%–28% | evenwon 8%, needs 8% |
| This season | 0 of 40%needs 8% to break even | 0%–40% | 8 points shortwon 0%, needs 8% |
| Last season | 1 of 911%needs 8% to break even | 3%–38% | 3 points betterwon 11%, needs 8% |
| Every game | 1 of 138%needs 8% to break even | 2%–28% | evenwon 8%, needs 8% |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 6 at home.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Michael Penix Jr. game, newest first: whether Penix scored a touchdown.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.