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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Brian Robinson Jr. over 28.5 rushing yards
Won4 of 6this season · 67%
Best price-108DraftKings
Price needs51.9%wins to break even
Every game9 of 25this season and last
Trend score-25.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 52% to break even | 19%–65% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 52% to break even | 17%–54% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 52% to break even | 35%–88% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 5 of 1926%needs 52% to break even | 13%–45% | 26 points shortwon 26%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 9 of 2536%needs 52% to break even | 22%–52% | 16 points shortwon 36%, needs 52% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Brian Robinson Jr. over 28.5 rushing yards3 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against over 28.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 28.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  CHI | 1 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  BAL | 16 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  NO | 62 | +33.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  GB | 50 | +21.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  CAR | 51 | +22.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  PIT | 31 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 |  SEA | 4 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 19 |  PHI | 0 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | SEA | 9 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 | CHI | 22 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  IND | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  TEN | 21 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 |  CLE | 26 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | CAR | 40 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 |  ARI | 24 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  LAR | 41 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  NYG | 53 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  HOU | 0 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  ATL | 36 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  TB | 0 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | LAR | 12 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  JAX | 21 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | ARI | 22 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | NO | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | SEA | 33 | +4.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 25.5 rushing yardsBrian Robinson Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  +100at Fanatics | 13 of 19· last season68%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 26.5 rushing yardsBrian Robinson Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -114at FanDuel | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 28.5 rushing yardsBrian Robinson Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -112at BetRivers | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.