This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 50% to break even | 35%–81% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 50% to break even | 39%–78% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 50% to break even | 12%–65% | 17 points shortwon 33%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 13 of 1968%needs 50% to break even | 50%–83% | 18 points betterwon 68%, needs 50% |
| Every game |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against under 25.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 25.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 25.5 rushing yardsBrian Robinson Jr. |
| 44%–74% |
| 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| 1 |
| +24.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 5 | 16 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 62 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 50 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 51 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 31 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | 4 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Wk 19 | 0 | +25.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 | 9 | +16.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | 22 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 20 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 21 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 26 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 40 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 24 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 41 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 53 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 0 | +25.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 36 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 0 | +25.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 12 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 21 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 22 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 20 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 33 | -7.5 | Lost |
| -135at Fanatics |
| 4 of 6· this season67%needs 57% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -28.1Not beating its price |
| Over 26.5 rushing yardsBrian Robinson Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -114at FanDuel | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -26.3Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 rushing yardsBrian Robinson Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -108at DraftKings | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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