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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Brian Robinson Jr. under 28.5 rushing yards
Won14 of 19last season · 74%
Best price-112BetRivers
Price needs52.8%wins to break even
Every game16 of 25this season and last
Trend score-15.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 53% to break even | 46%–83% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 53% to break even | 12%–65% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 14 of 1974%needs 53% to break even | 55%–87% | 21 points betterwon 74%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 16 of 2564%needs 53% to break even | 48%–78% | 11 points betterwon 64%, needs 53% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Brian Robinson Jr. under 28.5 rushing yards3 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against under 28.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 28.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  CHI | 1 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  BAL | 16 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  NO | 62 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  GB | 50 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  CAR | 51 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  PIT | 31 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 |  SEA | 4 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 19 |  PHI | 0 | +28.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 | SEA | 9 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | CHI | 22 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  IND | 20 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  TEN | 21 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  CLE | 26 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | CAR | 40 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 |  ARI | 24 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 |  LAR | 41 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  NYG | 53 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  HOU | 0 | +28.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  ATL | 36 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  TB | 0 | +28.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | LAR | 12 | +16.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  JAX | 21 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | ARI | 22 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | NO | 20 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | SEA | 33 | -4.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 25.5 rushing yardsBrian Robinson Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -135at Fanatics | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | -28.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 26.5 rushing yardsBrian Robinson Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -114at FanDuel | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -26.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 28.5 rushing yardsBrian Robinson Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -108at DraftKings | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.