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NFLPlayer propPass + rush yards
Michael Penix Jr. over 235.5 pass + rush yards
Won6 of 10last 10 games · 60%
Best price-114DraftKings
Price needs53.3%wins to break even
Every game7 of 13this season and last
Trend score-19.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 226.6passing and rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% | 236.7passing and rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1354%needs 53% to break even | 32%–74% | 1 points betterwon 54%, needs 53% | 230.8passing and rushing yards |
| This season | 2 of 450%needs 53% to break even | 18%–82% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 237.3passing and rushing yards |
| Last season | 5 of 956%needs 53% to break even | 30%–78% | 2 points betterwon 56%, needs 53% | 228passing and rushing yards |
| Every game | 7 of 1354%needs 53% to break even | 32%–74% | 1 points betterwon 54%, needs 53% | 230.8passing and rushing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 6 at home. Tonight: SF allows 232.8 passing and rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 8th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 253.4): a tough matchup for this bet. How SF defends quarterbacks
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Every book's price
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Michael Penix Jr. over 235.5 pass + rush yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Pass + rush yards in each game against over 235.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pass + rush yards | Beat 235.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  CHI | 226 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  BAL | 248 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  NO | 221 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  GB | 254 | +18.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 11 |  CAR | 184 | -51.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  IND | 176 | -59.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  NE | 240 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  SF | 247 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  BUF | 256 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  WSH | 315 | +79.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | CAR | 181 | -54.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  MIN | 134 | -101.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  TB | 319 | +83.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 232.5 pass + rush yardsMichael Penix Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -115at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even2 of 6 at home | -22.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 234.5 pass + rush yardsMichael Penix Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -114at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even2 of 6 at home | -22.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 235.5 pass + rush yardsMichael Penix Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -112at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even2 of 6 at home | -22.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Michael Penix Jr. in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.