This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 43% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 43% to break even | 7%–46% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 43% to break even | 13%–48% | 16 points shortwon 27%, needs 43% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 43% to break even | 12%–65% | 9 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 3 of 1718%needs 43% to break even | 7%–37% | 25 points shortwon 18%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 5 of 2322%needs 43% to break even | 11%–38% | 21 points shortwon 22%, needs 43% |
Tonight CLE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
CLE points in each game against over 21.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | CLE points | Beat 21.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 13 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 12 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 1 | 27 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 21 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 23 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 10 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 20 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 13 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 20 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 3 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 29 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 8 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 24 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 16 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 20 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 13 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 31 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 9 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 17 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 10 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 13 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 17 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 16 | -5.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 17.5 team totalCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 19.5 team totalCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 20.5 team totalCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 21.5 team totalCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.