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NFLGame line4th quarter spread
CLE 4Q -2.5 (4th quarter spread)
Won5 of 10last 10 games · 50%
Best price+129Kalshi
Price needs43.7%wins to break even
Every game9 of 23this season and last
Trend score-18.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 44% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 44% to break even | 27%–73% | 6 points betterwon 50%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 44% to break even | 22%–61% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 44% to break even | 22%–78% | 6 points betterwon 50%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 6 of 1735%needs 44% to break even | 19%–55% | 8 points shortwon 35%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 9 of 2339%needs 44% to break even | 24%–56% | 5 points shortwon 39%, needs 44% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CLE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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CLE 4Q -2.5 (4th quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
4Q margin in each game against cle 4q -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 4Q margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  BAL | 10 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  NYJ | -4 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 1 |  PIT | -8 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  CAR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  TB | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  JAX | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 |  CIN | -3 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 | PIT | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  BUF | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  CHI | -3 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  TEN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 |  SF | -9 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 |  LV | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | BAL | -13 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | NYJ | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 |  NE | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 |  MIA | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | PIT | -4 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  MIN | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 |  DET | -14 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 |  GB | 13 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | BAL | -14 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | CIN | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Cleveland Browns in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.