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NFLPlayer propPassing yards
Cam Ward under 180.5 passing yards
Won8 of 15last 15 games · 53%
Best price-114FanDuel
Price needs53.3%wins to break even
Every game11 of 23this season and last
Trend score-22.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 171.6passing yards |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 169.9passing yards |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 53% to break even | 33%–72% | evenwon 53%, needs 53% | 170.1passing yards |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 166.3passing yards |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 53% to break even | 29%–66% | 6 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% | 186.4passing yards |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 53% to break even | 32%–64% | 5 points shortwon 48%, needs 53% | 181.2passing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 12 at home. Tonight: CLE allows 227.3 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 13th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 236.1). How CLE defends quarterbacks
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Cam Ward under 180.5 passing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Passing yards in each game against under 180.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing yards | Beat 180.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  IND | 102 | +78.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  HOU | 170 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  BAL | 222 | -41.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  NYG | 181 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  PHI | 183 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  NYJ | 140 | +40.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  JAX | 52 | +128.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  NO | 251 | -70.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  KC | 228 | -47.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  SF | 170 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  CLE | 117 | +63.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | JAX | 141 | +39.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  SEA | 256 | -75.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | HOU | 194 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  LAC | 145 | +35.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | IND | 259 | -78.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  NE | 255 | -74.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  LV | 222 | -41.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  ARI | 265 | -84.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | HOU | 108 | +72.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | IND | 219 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  LAR | 175 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  DEN | 112 | +68.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 169.5 passing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -154at BetOnline | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 61% to break even9 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -15.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 174.5 passing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -125at Fanatics | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 56% to break even8 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -21.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 179.5 passing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at BetOnline | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 53% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -20.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 180.5 passing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -114at FanDuel | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 53% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -20.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 182.5 passing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  +100at BetMGM | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 50% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 189.5 passing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +109at BetOnline | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 48% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 199.5 passing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  +152at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 40% to break even5 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 209.5 passing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  +174at DraftKings | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 36% to break even5 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -18.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 219.5 passing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +224at DraftKings | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 31% to break even4 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -15.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Cam Ward in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.