This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 61% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 61% to break even | 44%–95% | 19 points betterwon 80%, needs 61% | 171.6passing yards |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 61% to break even | 44%–87% | 9 points betterwon 70%, needs 61% | 169.9passing yards |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 61% to break even | 39%–78% | 1 points shortwon 60%, needs 61% | 170.1passing yards |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 61% to break even | 35%–88% | 6 points betterwon 67%, needs 61% | 166.3passing yards |
| Last season |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 9 of 12 at home. Tonight: CLE allows 227.3 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 13th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 236.1). How CLE defends quarterbacks
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Passing yards in each game against over 169.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing yards |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 45%–81% |
| 4 points betterwon 65%, needs 61% |
| 186.4passing yards |
| Every game | 15 of 2365%needs 61% to break even | 48%–79% | 5 points betterwon 65%, needs 61% | 181.2passing yards |
| Beat 169.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 102 | -67.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 170 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 222 | +52.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 181 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 183 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 140 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 52 | -117.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 251 | +81.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 228 | +58.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 170 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 117 | -52.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 141 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 256 | +86.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 194 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 145 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 259 | +89.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 255 | +85.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 222 | +52.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 265 | +95.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 108 | -61.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 219 | +49.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 175 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 112 | -57.5 | Lost | |
| +105at Kalshi |
| 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 49% to break even4 of 12 at home |
| -19.8Not beating its price |
| Under 179.5 passing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at BetOnline | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 53% to break even5 of 12 at home | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Under 180.5 passing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 53% to break even5 of 12 at home | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Under 182.5 passing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even5 of 12 at home | -16.3Not beating its price |
| Under 199.5 passing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 66% to break even7 of 12 at home | -17.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -110at BetMGM |
| 12 of 17· last season71%needs 52% to break even8 of 12 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -6.8Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +574at Kalshi | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 15% to break even2 of 12 at home | -7.7Not beating its price |
| Under 195.5 pass + rush yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Under 192.5 pass + rush yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Under 196.5 pass + rush yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -9.7Not beating its price |
| Over 35.5 pass attemptsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +224at DraftKings | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 31% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -10.0Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 rushing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 52% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 completionsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +131at DraftKings | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 43% to break even8 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 completionsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -105at Fanatics | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 51% to break even10 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Under 197.5 pass + rush yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -130at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 57% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 rushing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +320at FanDuel | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 24% to break even3 of 12 at home | -12.4Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 pass attemptsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +180at BetMGM | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 36% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -14.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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