This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 51% to break even | 5%–56% | 31 points shortwon 20%, needs 51% | 8kicking points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 51% to break even | 13%–56% | 21 points shortwon 30%, needs 51% | 7kicking points |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 51% to break even | 22%–61% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% | 6.6kicking points |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 51% to break even | 12%–65% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 51% | 7.3kicking points |
| Last season | 9 of 1753% |
Tonight CLE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 11 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Kicking points in each game against under 6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Kicking points | Beat 6.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 34%–71% |
| 2 points betterwon 53%, needs 51% |
| 5.7kicking points |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 51% to break even | 32%–64% | 3 points shortwon 48%, needs 51% | 6.1kicking points |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 0 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 1 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| -120at Fanatics |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 55% to break even4 of 11 on the road |
| -14.1Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 kicking pointsAndre Szmyt · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -121at BetRivers | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 55% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -31.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -120at BetMGM |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even5 of 11 on the road |
| -7.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 extra points madeAndre Szmyt · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +110at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 48% to break even6 of 11 on the road | -11.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 extra points madeAndre Szmyt · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at DraftKings | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 55% to break even5 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -27.4Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 field goals madeAndre Szmyt · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +100at DraftKings | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 50% to break even6 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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