This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 50% to break even | 0%–35% | 50 points shortwon 0%, needs 50% | 2.2field goals made |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 50% to break even | 7%–46% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% | 1.9field goals made |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 50% to break even | 17%–54% | 17 points shortwon 33%, needs 50% | 1.7field goals made |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 50% to break even | 4%–50% | 33 points shortwon 17%, needs 50% | 2field goals made |
| Last season | 10 of 1759%needs 50% to break even | 39%–76% | 9 points betterwon 59%, needs 50% | 1.4field goals made |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 50% to break even | 32%–64% | 2 points shortwon 48%, needs 50% | 1.6field goals made |
Tonight CLE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 11 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Field goals made in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Field goals made | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 field goals madeAndre Szmyt · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at BetMGM | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even5 of 11 on the road | -7.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 extra points madeAndre Szmyt · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +110at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 48% to break even6 of 11 on the road | -11.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 6.5 kicking pointsAndre Szmyt · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at Fanatics | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 55% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -14.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 6.5 kicking pointsAndre Szmyt · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -105at DraftKings | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 51% to break even7 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -26.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 extra points madeAndre Szmyt · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at DraftKings | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 55% to break even5 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -27.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 7.5 kicking pointsAndre Szmyt · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -121at BetRivers | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 55% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -31.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.