This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 55% to break even | 44%–95% | 25 points betterwon 80%, needs 55% | 8kicking points |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 55% to break even | 44%–87% | 15 points betterwon 70%, needs 55% | 7kicking points |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 55% to break even | 39%–78% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% | 6.6kicking points |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 55% to break even | 35%–88% | 12 points betterwon 67%, needs 55% | 7.3kicking points |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 55% to break even | 29%–66% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 55% | 5.7kicking points |
| Every game | 12 of 2352%needs 55% to break even | 36%–68% | 2 points shortwon 52%, needs 55% | 6.1kicking points |
Tonight CLE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 11 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Kicking points in each game against over 6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Kicking points | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 11 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 0 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 8 | 1 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 kicking pointsAndre Szmyt · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -105at DraftKings | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 51% to break even7 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -26.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 field goals madeAndre Szmyt · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at BetMGM | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even5 of 11 on the road | -7.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 extra points madeAndre Szmyt · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +110at Fanatics | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 48% to break even6 of 11 on the road | -11.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 extra points madeAndre Szmyt · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at DraftKings | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 55% to break even5 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -27.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 field goals madeAndre Szmyt · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +100at DraftKings | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 50% to break even6 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.