This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 67% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 67% to break even | 14%–73% | 27 points shortwon 40%, needs 67% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 67% to break even | 27%–73% | 17 points shortwon 50%, needs 67% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 67% to break even | 33%–72% | 13 points shortwon 53%, needs 67% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 67% to break even | 14%–73% | 27 points shortwon 40%, needs 67% |
| Last season | 9 of 1753%needs 67% to break even | 34%–71% | 14 points shortwon 53%, needs 67% |
| Every game | 11 of 2250%needs 67% to break even | 33%–67% | 17 points shortwon 50%, needs 67% |
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against BAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 53.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 53.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 | 55 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 39 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 57 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 26 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 60 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 38 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 51 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 66 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 24 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 73 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 27 | 46 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 46 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 46 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 89 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 77 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 64 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 45 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 61 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 31 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 58 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 58 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 33 | +20.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.