This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 51% to break even | 14%–73% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 51% to break even | 19%–65% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 51% to break even | 28%–67% | 4 points shortwon 47%, needs 51% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 51% to break even | 14%–73% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 51% to break even | 29%–66% | 4 points shortwon 47%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 10 of 2245%needs 51% to break even | 29%–62% | 6 points shortwon 45%, needs 51% |
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against BAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 48.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 48.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 | 55 | -6.5 | ||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 28.5 team totalCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| Lost |
| Oct 4 | 39 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 57 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 26 | +22.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 60 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 38 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 51 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | 66 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 24 | +24.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 73 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Nov 27 | 46 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 46 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | 46 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | 89 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 77 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Oct 16 | 64 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | 45 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 61 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 29 | 31 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 58 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 58 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | 33 | +15.5 | Won |
| 13 of 17· last season76%needs 66% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -17.1Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 59% to break even | -21.4Not beating its price |
| Over 47.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 57% to break even | -19.4Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV+102at Novig | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 50% to break even | -13.6Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 49% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 45% to break even | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.8Not beating its price |
| Over 54.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 36% to break even |
| -7.2Not beating its price |
| CIN -0.5 2nd quarter spreadCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 46% to break even | -8.6Not beating its price |
| CIN -2.5 1st half spreadCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 44% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
| CIN -3.5 1st half spreadCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 37% to break even | -9.6Not beating its price |
| CIN +2.5 1st quarter spreadCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 61% to break even | -9.8Not beating its price |
| CIN +2.5 1st half spreadCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 58% to break even | -10.4Not beating its price |
| CIN -1.5 1st half spreadCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 46% to break even | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 1st half team totalCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 55% to break even | -11.2Not beating its price |
| CIN -0.5 1st half spreadCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 47% to break even | -11.4Not beating its price |
| Over 11.5 1st half team totalCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 56% to break even | -11.6Not beating its price |
| CIN -3.5 spreadCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even | -12.0Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 1st half team totalCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 46% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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