This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 35% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 35% to break even | 7%–46% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 35% to break even | 8%–41% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 35% to break even | 12%–65% | 1 points shortwon 33%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 4 of 1724%needs 35% to break even | 11%–43% | 11 points shortwon 24%, needs 35% |
| Every game | 6 of 2326%needs 35% to break even | 14%–43% | 9 points shortwon 26%, needs 35% |
Tonight BAL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against CIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
BAL points in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 team totalBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL -3.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 10 |
| +10.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 11 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 34 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 17 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 41 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 41 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 27 | 14 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 30 | 28 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | 3 | +17.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 22 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 41 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | 40 | -19.5 | Lost |
| 7 of 17· last season41%needs 55% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -28.6Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 team totalBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 43% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.9Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 team totalBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 38% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 38% to break even |
| 1.5Slight |
| BAL -4.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 34% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| BAL -2.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 46% to break even | -4.7Not beating its price |
| BAL -1.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 47% to break even | -5.9Not beating its price |
| BAL -0.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 49% to break even | -7.2Not beating its price |
| BAL +1.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -151at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 60% to break even | -8.5Not beating its price |
| BAL +2.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -151at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 60% to break even | -8.5Not beating its price |
| BAL -5.5 spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 37% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
| BAL -4.5 spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 37% to break even | -9.3Not beating its price |
| BAL +0.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 59% to break even | -9.4Not beating its price |
| BAL -6.5 spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.0Not beating its price |
| BAL -3.5 spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 40% to break even | -11.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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