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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Ja'Marr Chase under 80.5 receiving yards
Won4 of 5last 5 games · 80%
Best price-114DraftKings
Price needs53.3%wins to break even
Every game10 of 21this season and last
Trend score-18.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 53% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 6 of 1638%needs 53% to break even | 21%–58% | 16 points shortwon 38%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 10 of 2148%needs 53% to break even | 31%–65% | 6 points shortwon 48%, needs 53% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against BAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Ja'Marr Chase under 80.5 receiving yards5 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 80.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 80.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 |  MIA | 77 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  JAX | 27 | +53.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  PIT | 98 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  HOU | 75 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  TB | 12 | +68.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  CLE | 96 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  ARI | 60 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | MIA | 109 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  BAL | 132 | -51.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  BUF | 44 | +36.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | BAL | 110 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | PIT | 30 | +50.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  CHI | 111 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  NYJ | 91 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | PIT | 161 | -80.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  GB | 94 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  DET | 110 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  DEN | 23 | +57.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  MIN | 50 | +30.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | JAX | 165 | -84.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | CLE | 26 | +54.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 75.5 receiving yardsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -135at Fanatics | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 79.5 receiving yardsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -114at FanDuel | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 80.5 receiving yardsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -110at DraftKings | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 89.5 receiving yardsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  +119at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Ja'Marr Chase in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 receptionsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -135at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 57% to break even | -15.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 6.5 receptionsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +128at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 44% to break even | -16.4Not beating its price | ||
| Scores a TDJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 48% to break even | -19.3Not beating its price | ||
| Doesn't score a TDJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 7.5 receptionsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  +116at BetRivers | 7 of 16· last season44%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 6.5 receptionsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 62% to break even | -23.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.