This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 46% to break even | 5%–56% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 46% to break even | 19%–65% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 46% to break even | 33%–72% | 8 points betterwon 53%, needs 46% |
| This season | 1 of 520%needs 46% to break even | 5%–56% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 10 of 1663%needs 46% to break even | 42%–79% | 17 points betterwon 63%, needs 46% |
| Every game |
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against BAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 89.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 89.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 | 77 | -12.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 75.5 receiving yardsJa'Marr Chase |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 receptionsJa'Marr Chase |
| 35%–69% |
| 7 points betterwon 52%, needs 46% |
| Wk 4 | 27 | -62.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 98 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 75 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 12 | -77.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 96 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 60 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 109 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 132 | +42.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 44 | -45.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 110 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 30 | -59.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 111 | +21.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 91 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 161 | +71.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 94 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 110 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 23 | -66.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 50 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 165 | +75.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 26 | -63.5 | Lost |
| +100at Fanatics |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 50% to break even |
| -21.1Not beating its price |
| Under 79.5 receiving yardsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -17.2Not beating its price |
| Under 80.5 receiving yardsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -18.5Not beating its price |
| Under 89.5 receiving yardsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 63% to break even | -26.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -135at Bovada |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 57% to break even |
| -15.6Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 receptionsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +128at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 44% to break even | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 47% to break even | -18.4Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 receptionsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +116at BetRivers | 7 of 16· last season44%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.8Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 receptionsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 62% to break even | -23.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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