This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 36% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 36% to break even | 13%–56% | 6 points shortwon 30%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 36% to break even | 13%–48% | 9 points shortwon 27%, needs 36% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 36% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 5 of 1631%needs 36% to break even | 16%–52% | 4 points shortwon 31%, needs 36% |
| Every game |
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against BAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 59.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 59.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 | 77 | -17.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 75.5 receiving yardsJa'Marr Chase |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 receptionsJa'Marr Chase |
| 19%–51% |
| 2 points shortwon 33%, needs 36% |
| Wk 4 | 27 | +32.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 98 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 75 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 12 | +47.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 96 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 60 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 109 | -49.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 132 | -72.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 44 | +15.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 110 | -50.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 30 | +29.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 111 | -51.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 91 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 161 | -101.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 94 | -34.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 110 | -50.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 23 | +36.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 50 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 165 | -105.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 26 | +33.5 | Won |
| -135at Fanatics |
| 10 of 16· last season63%needs 57% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -20.2Not beating its price |
| Over 79.5 receiving yardsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.0Not beating its price |
| Over 80.5 receiving yardsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Over 89.5 receiving yardsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Over 99.5 receiving yardsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 7 of 16· last season44%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -135at Bovada |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 57% to break even |
| -15.6Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 receptionsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 44% to break even | -16.2Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 48% to break even | -19.3Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.6Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 receptionsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +116at BetRivers | 7 of 16· last season44%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.8Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 receptionsJa'Marr Chase · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 62% to break even | -23.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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