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NFLPlayer propPassing yards
Joe Burrow over 249.5 passing yards
Won6 of 10last 10 games · 60%
Best price-161Kalshi
Price needs61.7%wins to break even
Every game7 of 13this season and last
Trend score-23.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 62% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% | 272.2passing yards |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 62% to break even | 35%–81% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% | 272passing yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1354%needs 62% to break even | 32%–74% | 8 points shortwon 54%, needs 62% | 243.8passing yards |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 62% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% | 272.2passing yards |
| Last season | 4 of 850% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against BAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 7 on the road. Tonight: BAL allows 225.7 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 10th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 236.1): a tough matchup for this bet. How BAL defends quarterbacks
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Joe Burrow over 249.5 passing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Passing yards in each game against over 249.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing yards | Beat 249.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 |  MIA | 190 | -59.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  | |||
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
More on Joe Burrow in this game
This player's other props in the game.
