This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 44% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 44% to break even | 7%–46% | 24 points shortwon 20%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 44% to break even | 5%–33% | 30 points shortwon 13%, needs 44% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 44% to break even | 12%–65% | 10 points shortwon 33%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 0 of 170%needs 44% to break even | 0%–14% | 44 points shortwon 0%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 2 of 239%needs 44% to break even | 3%–23% | 35 points shortwon 9%, needs 44% |
Tonight DAL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against PHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 41.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 41.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 28.5 team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET |
| 36 |
| +5.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 8 | 40 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 64 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 65 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 57 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 48 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 51 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 53 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | 51 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 60 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Dec 4 | 74 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Nov 27 | 59 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 45 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 17 | 49 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | 44 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 68 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | 66 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | 57 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | 59 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 80 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 45 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 77 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Sep 4 | 44 | -2.5 | Lost |
| 17 of 17· last season100%needs 62% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -4.1Not beating its price |
| Over 42.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 17 of 17· last season100%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.9Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 17 of 17· last season100%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.6Slight |
| Over 44.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | NV+104at Novig | 15 of 17· last season88%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.8Slight |
| Over 45.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.2Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.6Slight |
| Over 47.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.9Good |
| Over 50.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.7Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 8 of 17· last season47%needs 36% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -8.6Not beating its price |
| DAL -3.5 3rd quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even | -13.3Not beating its price |
| DAL -0.5 3rd quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 39% to break even | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 41% to break even | -16.8Not beating its price |
| DAL -2.5 3rd quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Under 12.5 1st half team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.5Not beating its price |
| DAL -2.5 4th quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 48% to break even | -19.9Not beating its price |
| DAL -3.5 1st quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 38% to break even | -20.4Not beating its price |
| DAL -1.5 4th quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -20.7Not beating its price |
| DAL -0.5 4th quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -23.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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