This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 42% to break even | 27%–86% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 42% to break even | 54%–93% | 38 points betterwon 80%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 42% to break even | 52%–87% | 32 points betterwon 73%, needs 42% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 42% to break even | 35%–88% | 25 points betterwon 67%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 13 of 1776%needs 42% to break even | 57%–89% | 35 points betterwon 76%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 17 of 2374%needs 42% to break even | 57%–86% | 32 points betterwon 74%, needs 42% |
Tonight DAL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against PHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 47.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 38.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 28.5 team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET |
| 36 |
| -11.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 8 | 40 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 64 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 65 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 57 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 48 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 51 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 53 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 51 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 60 | +12.5 | Won |
| Dec 4 | 74 | +26.5 | Won |
| Nov 27 | 59 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 45 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 17 | 49 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | 44 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 68 | +20.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | 66 | +18.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | 57 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 59 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 80 | +32.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 45 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 77 | +29.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 | 44 | -3.5 | Lost |
| 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 34% to break even |
| -25.8Not beating its price |
| Under 41.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 44% to break even | -30.3Not beating its price |
| Under 42.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 47% to break even | -32.8Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 50% to break even | -35.3Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 51% to break even | -35.3Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 57% to break even | -37.4Not beating its price |
| Under 46.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 59% to break even | -39.1Not beating its price |
| Under 47.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 63% to break even | -42.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 8 of 17· last season47%needs 36% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -8.6Not beating its price |
| DAL -3.5 3rd quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even | -13.3Not beating its price |
| DAL -0.5 3rd quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 39% to break even | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 41% to break even | -16.8Not beating its price |
| Under 12.5 1st half team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.5Not beating its price |
| DAL -2.5 3rd quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.7Not beating its price |
| DAL -2.5 4th quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 48% to break even | -19.9Not beating its price |
| DAL -3.5 1st quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 38% to break even | -20.4Not beating its price |
| DAL -1.5 4th quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -20.7Not beating its price |
| DAL -0.5 4th quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -23.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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