This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 55% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 55% to break even | 54%–93% | 25 points betterwon 80%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 55% to break even | 67%–95% | 32 points betterwon 87%, needs 55% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 55% to break even | 35%–88% | 12 points betterwon 67%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 17 of 17100%needs 55% to break even | 86%–100% | 45 points betterwon 100%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 21 of 2391%needs 55% to break even | 77%–97% | 37 points betterwon 91%, needs 55% |
Tonight DAL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against PHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 43.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 43.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 38.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 28.5 team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET |
| 36 |
| -7.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 8 | 40 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 64 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 65 | +21.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 57 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 48 | +4.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 51 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 53 | +9.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 51 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 60 | +16.5 | Won |
| Dec 4 | 74 | +30.5 | Won |
| Nov 27 | 59 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 45 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 | 49 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | 44 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 68 | +24.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | 66 | +22.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | 57 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 59 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 80 | +36.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 45 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | 77 | +33.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 | 44 | +0.5 | Won |
| 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 34% to break even |
| -25.8Not beating its price |
| Under 41.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 44% to break even | -30.3Not beating its price |
| Under 42.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 47% to break even | -32.8Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 50% to break even | -35.3Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 51% to break even | -35.3Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 58% to break even | -38.3Not beating its price |
| Under 46.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 60% to break even | -39.9Not beating its price |
| Under 47.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 63% to break even | -42.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 8 of 17· last season47%needs 36% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -8.6Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 1st half team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.5Not beating its price |
| DAL -3.5 3rd quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even | -13.3Not beating its price |
| DAL -0.5 3rd quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 39% to break even | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 36% to break even | -16.6Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 41% to break even | -16.8Not beating its price |
| DAL -2.5 3rd quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 1st half team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 60% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.3Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 1st half team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.4Not beating its price |
| Under 12.5 1st half team totalDallas Cowboys · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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