This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 35% to break even | 27%–86% | 25 points betterwon 60%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 35% to break even | 27%–73% | 15 points betterwon 50%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 35% to break even | 22%–61% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 35% to break even | 35%–88% | 32 points betterwon 67%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 3 of 1619%needs 35% to break even | 8%–39% | 16 points shortwon 19%, needs 35% |
Tonight DAL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against PHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against under 49.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 49.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 41 | |||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 59.5 rushing yardsJavonte Williams |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TDJavonte Williams · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET |
| Every game | 7 of 2232%needs 35% to break even | 18%–49% | 3 points shortwon 32%, needs 35% |
| +8.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 5 | 45 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 62 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 98 | -48.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 30 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 41 | +8.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 | 54 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 34 | +15.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 91 | -41.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 67 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 59 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 87 | -37.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 93 | -43.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 83 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 41 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 116 | -66.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 29 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 135 | -85.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 85 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 76 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 97 | -47.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 54 | -4.5 | Lost |
| -142at Kalshi |
| 10 of 16· last season63%needs 59% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -27.9Not beating its price |
| Over 69.5 rushing yardsJavonte Williams · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 9 of 16· last season56%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
| Over 79.5 rushing yardsJavonte Williams · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 8 of 16· last season50%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -154at Kalshi |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 61% to break even |
| -11.1Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsJavonte Williams · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsJavonte Williams · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsJavonte Williams · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.7Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsJavonte Williams · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 48% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.6Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDJavonte Williams · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 6 of 16· last season38%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.9Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 receiving yardsJavonte Williams · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 63% to break even | Record is this season's | -31.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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