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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Javonte Williams over 79.5 rushing yards
Won8 of 16last season · 50%
Best price+166Kalshi
Price needs37.6%wins to break even
Every game9 of 22this season and last
Trend score-19.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 38% to break even | 5%–56% | 18 points shortwon 20%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 38% to break even | 7%–46% | 18 points shortwon 20%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 38% to break even | 17%–54% | 4 points shortwon 33%, needs 38% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 38% to break even | 4%–50% | 21 points shortwon 17%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 8 of 1650%needs 38% to break even | 31%–69% | 12 points betterwon 50%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 9 of 2241%needs 38% to break even | 26%–58% | 3 points betterwon 41%, needs 38% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DAL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against PHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Javonte Williams over 79.5 rushing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against over 79.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 79.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  GB | 41 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  TB | 45 | -34.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  HOU | 62 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  BAL | 98 | +18.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  WSH | 30 | -49.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  NYG | 41 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 | WSH | 54 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  LAC | 34 | -45.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  MIN | 91 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  DET | 67 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 |  KC | 59 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  PHI | 87 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 |  LV | 93 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  ARI | 83 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  DEN | 41 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | WSH | 116 | +36.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  CAR | 29 | -50.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  NYJ | 135 | +55.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | GB | 85 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  CHI | 76 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | NYG | 97 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | PHI | 54 | -25.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 49.5 rushing yardsJavonte Williams · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET |  +189at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 59.5 rushing yardsJavonte Williams · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 47% to break even | -13.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsJavonte Williams · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 60% to break even | -13.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Javonte Williams in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.