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NFLGame line4th quarter total
Under 10.5 (4th quarter total)
Won4 of 10last 10 games · 40%
Best price+109Kalshi
Price needs47.8%wins to break even
Every game7 of 23this season and last
Trend score-27.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 48% to break even | 5%–56% | 28 points shortwon 20%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 48% to break even | 19%–65% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 48% to break even | 17%–54% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 48% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 48% to break even | 12%–65% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 5 of 1729%needs 48% to break even | 15%–49% | 18 points shortwon 29%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 7 of 2330%needs 48% to break even | 17%–48% | 17 points shortwon 30%, needs 48% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ARI plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against DEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Under 10.5 (4th quarter total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
4Q total points in each game against under 10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 4Q total points | Beat 10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  LAR | 13 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  DET | 14 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  NYG | 9 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  SF | 30 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  SEA | 14 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  LAC | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | LAR | 14 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 |  CIN | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  ATL | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  HOU | 16 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | LAR | 14 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 |  TB | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 |  JAX | 17 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | SF | 18 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | SEA | 13 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 |  DAL | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 |  GB | 17 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  IND | 17 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  TEN | 16 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 25 | SEA | 20 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | SF | 19 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  CAR | 13 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 |  NO | 3 | +7.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 4th quarter totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET |  -137at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 13.5 4th quarter totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 14.5 4th quarter totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Arizona Cardinals in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.