This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 59% to break even | 44%–95% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 59% to break even | 54%–93% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 59% to break even | 52%–87% | 15 points betterwon 73%, needs 59% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 59% to break even | 50%–96% | 25 points betterwon 83%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 13 of 1776%needs 59% to break even | 57%–89% | 18 points betterwon 76%, needs 59% |
| Every game | 18 of 2378%needs 59% to break even | 62%–89% | 20 points betterwon 78%, needs 59% |
Tonight ARI plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against DEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
ARI points in each game against over 17.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | ARI points | Beat 17.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 21 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 24 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 30 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 7 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 26 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 24 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 22 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 22 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 27 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 27 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 21 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 25 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 27 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 17.5 team totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 46% to break even | -30.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 19.5 team totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 53% to break even | -29.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 20.5 team totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 60% to break even | -27.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 21.5 team totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 63% to break even | -22.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.