This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 38% to break even | 5%–56% | 18 points shortwon 20%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 38% to break even | 7%–46% | 18 points shortwon 20%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 38% to break even | 5%–33% | 24 points shortwon 13%, needs 38% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 38% to break even | 4%–50% | 21 points shortwon 17%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 3 of 1718%needs 38% to break even | 7%–37% | 20 points shortwon 18%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 4 of 2317%needs 38% to break even | 8%–34% | 20 points shortwon 17%, needs 38% |
Tonight ARI plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against DEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2H total points in each game against under 17.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 2H total points | Beat 17.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 35 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 24 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 43 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 24 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 20 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 35 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 21 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 30 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 28 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 24 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 27 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 28 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 21 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 20 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 31 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 34 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 25 | 26 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 22 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 26 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 6 | +11.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 2nd half totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 58% to break even | -7.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 21.5 2nd half totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 54% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 24.5 2nd half totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.