This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 40% to break even | 5%–56% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 40% to break even | 7%–46% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 40% to break even | 5%–33% | 27 points shortwon 13%, needs 40% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 40% to break even | 12%–65% | 7 points shortwon 33%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 5 of 1729%needs 40% to break even | 15%–49% | 11 points shortwon 29%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 7 of 2330%needs 40% to break even | 17%–48% | 10 points shortwon 30%, needs 40% |
Tonight ARI plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against DEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ari +2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 game total, ARI gamesArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET |
| 2 |
| +4.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 11 | -24 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -12 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -24 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 12 | +14.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | -17 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | -23 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | -20 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | -28 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | -3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | -3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | -19 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | -22 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | 10 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | -4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | -4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | -1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 25 | -3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | -1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | 5 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 7 | +9.5 | Won |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 35% to break even |
| -1.2Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, ARI gamesArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 34% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, ARI gamesArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 38% to break even | -3.0Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 3rd quarter totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 36% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 3rd quarter totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 56% to break even | -4.4Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, ARI gamesArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 46% to break even | -6.0Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 team totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.4Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 1st half totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 67% to break even | -6.5Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, ARI gamesArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 43% to break even | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 2nd half totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 58% to break even | -7.8Not beating its price |
| Over 42.5 game total, ARI gamesArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.0Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 1st half totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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