This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 56% to break even | 14%–73% | 16 points shortwon 40%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 56% to break even | 13%–56% | 26 points shortwon 30%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 56% to break even | 17%–54% | 22 points shortwon 33%, needs 56% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 56% to break even | 22%–78% | 6 points shortwon 50%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 56% to break even | 24%–61% | 15 points shortwon 41%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 10 of 2343%needs 56% to break even | 28%–60% | 12 points shortwon 43%, needs 56% |
Tonight ARI plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against DEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2H margin in each game against ari 2h +2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 game total, ARI gamesArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET |
| 2 |
| +4.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 11 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -10 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | -24 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 6 | +8.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | -4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | -14 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 4 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | -4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 9 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | -11 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | -16 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 25 | 8 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 2 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | -12 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 35% to break even |
| -1.2Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, ARI gamesArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 34% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, ARI gamesArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 38% to break even | -3.0Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 3rd quarter totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 36% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 3rd quarter totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 56% to break even | -4.4Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, ARI gamesArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 46% to break even | -6.0Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 team totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.4Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 1st half totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 67% to break even | -6.5Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, ARI gamesArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 43% to break even | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, ARI gamesArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 50% to break even | -7.7Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 2nd half totalArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 58% to break even | -7.8Not beating its price |
| Over 42.5 game total, ARI gamesArizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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