This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 53% to break even | 5%–56% | 33 points shortwon 20%, needs 53% | 45.2receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 53% to break even | 7%–46% | 33 points shortwon 20%, needs 53% | 37.6receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 53% to break even | 22%–61% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 48.9receiving yards |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 53% to break even | 4%–50% | 37 points shortwon 17%, needs 53% | 38receiving yards |
| Last season | 8 of 1650% |
Tonight DEN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ARI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 2 of 10 on the road. Tonight: ARI allows 152.8 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 13th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3). How ARI defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 50.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 50.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 31%–69% |
| 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| 56.9receiving yards |
| Every game | 9 of 2241%needs 53% to break even | 26%–58% | 12 points shortwon 41%, needs 53% | 51.7receiving yards |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 24 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 19 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 35 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 10 | -40.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 138 | +87.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 2 | -48.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 | 0 | -50.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 72 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 26 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 50 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 40 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 52 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 84 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 82 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Wk 8 | 99 | +48.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 15 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 95 | +44.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 110 | +59.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 48 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 39 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 68 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 30 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| +166at Kalshi |
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 38% to break even7 of 10 on the road |
| Record is this season's |
| -2.2Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 receiving yardsJaylen Waddle · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 51% to break even7 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -10.0Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 receiving yardsJaylen Waddle · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET | -110at Fanatics | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even8 of 10 on the road | -7.7Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 receiving yardsJaylen Waddle · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET | -109at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even8 of 10 on the road | -7.5Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 receiving yardsJaylen Waddle · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET | -112at BetOnline | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even8 of 10 on the road | -6.0Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 receiving yardsJaylen Waddle · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 64% to break even8 of 10 on the road | -14.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +100at Bovada |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 50% to break even5 of 10 on the road |
| -15.3Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDJaylen Waddle · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 6 of 16· last season38%needs 34% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 receptionsJaylen Waddle · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET | -108at FanDuel | 9 of 16· last season56%needs 52% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -23.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.