This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 66% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points shortwon 60%, needs 66% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 66% to break even | 27%–73% | 16 points shortwon 50%, needs 66% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 66% to break even | 28%–67% | 19 points shortwon 47%, needs 66% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 66% to break even | 22%–78% | 16 points shortwon 50%, needs 66% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 66% to break even | 29%–66% | 19 points shortwon 47%, needs 66% |
| Every game |
Tonight ARI plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against DEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Anytime TD in each game against no, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Anytime TD | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TDTrey McBride · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 receptionsTrey McBride |
| 32%–64% |
| 18 points shortwon 48%, needs 66% |
| 1 |
| -0.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| +152at Kalshi |
| 9 of 17· last season53%needs 40% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -154at Kalshi |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 61% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -0.7Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 receptionsTrey McBride · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 45% to break even | -8.4Not beating its price |
| Over 8.5 receptionsTrey McBride · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 35% to break even | -9.1Not beating its price |
| Under 66.5 receiving yardsTrey McBride · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -16.2Not beating its price |
| Over 64.5 receiving yardsTrey McBride · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -118at BetRivers | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 54% to break even | -17.7Not beating its price |
| Over 69.5 receiving yardsTrey McBride · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.4Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 receiving yardsTrey McBride · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 58% to break even | -19.6Not beating its price |
| Over 65.5 receiving yardsTrey McBride · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even | -20.5Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 receiving yardsTrey McBride · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 37% to break even | -21.5Not beating its price |
| Over 79.5 receiving yardsTrey McBride · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 36% to break even | -22.4Not beating its price |
| Under 65.5 receiving yardsTrey McBride · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.7Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 receiving yardsTrey McBride · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 49% to break even | -23.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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